Skip to content

Straight News

Education Department finalizes earnings rule for college programs that fail to lift graduates’ pay

Students may lose federal financial aid for college programs that fail to prove graduates earn more than typical high school diploma holders.

Political cartoon showing a university building with a banner reading 'New U.S. Law: Grads must earn >$36K/year! Schools have 2 years to comply.' A graduate in a cap and gown sits on the steps holding a rolled diploma, beside a sign that says 'Degree in hand, still looking for a job paying >$36K.' On a lamppost, a calendar sign reads 'July 2026 — Two years left to prove it!'
#image_title

WASHINGTON, July 21 (DC Times Online) — The U.S. Department of Education has finalized a new rule in Washington that ties federal student aid more closely to what college programs pay off after graduation.

The rule creates a framework called the Student Tuition and Transparency System, or STATS, and an earnings-accountability measure. In plain terms, the department will judge whether a program helps graduates earn more than people with only a high school diploma or a bachelor’s degree, depending on the level of the program.

What the rule does

Under the new standard, undergraduate programs must show that their graduates earn more than the typical high school diploma holder. Graduate programs must show that their graduates earn more than the typical bachelor’s degree holder.

The department says the point is to steer federal aid toward programs that improve graduates’ financial standing, instead of programs that leave students with debt and weak job prospects.

The rule also says it is meant to line up several federal accountability systems, including the new earnings standard in the Working Families Tax Cuts Act and the department’s existing Financial Value Transparency and Gainful Employment rules.

What happens if a program fails

The earnings test is not based on one bad year. A program must fail the measure in two out of three consecutive award years before it loses access to the federal Direct Loan program.

An award year is the federal aid year used to track student aid eligibility and program performance.

If a program keeps missing the mark, the consequences can get tougher. After three years of consistently failing the earnings-premium measure, the department says it could end Title IV eligibility for an institution’s low-earning programs. Title IV is the part of federal law that covers major forms of federal student aid, including Pell Grants and Direct Loans.

Who is covered

The department says nearly all programs and sectors will fall under the same transparency and earnings rules, regardless of tax status or credential level.

That means schools will have to report more information to the department. The regulations say institutions must provide program-level and some student-level data, including tuition, fees, and financial aid awards such as grants and scholarships.

To measure earnings, the department says it will use data from at least one federal agency. The rules also say the earnings data will include students who are working and not enrolled during the year being measured.

What about exceptions?

The department says it will delay consequences for some programs that prepare students for jobs where most workers receive tips. The delay is meant to give the department time to use earnings data from tax years when the “No Tax on Tips” policy is in effect, beginning with the 2026 tax year.

The rule also carves out two groups from automatic loss of Title IV eligibility: institutions that have not taken part in the Direct Loan program during the five most recently completed award years, and institutions that exclusively serve people with documented disabilities.

When would this matter?

In remarks reported by NPR, Under Secretary Nicholas Kent said, “If a program cannot show that it leaves its graduates financially better off than if they had never enrolled, it should not be underwritten by federal taxpayers.”

NPR also reported that the Education Department expects to begin calculating the first year of graduate earnings in early 2027, with some programs possibly being labeled low-earning outcome programs in the 2028-29 financial aid year.

Why it matters for students and schools

For students and families, the rule is meant to push federal aid toward programs that lead to better pay after graduation. For colleges and universities, it raises the stakes for keeping programs open and for showing that tuition and borrowing are leading to real financial value.

The department says the final rule will be on public inspection in the Federal Register on June 30 and published on July 1.

author avatar
Wendy Sanders
Wendy, who loves the small-town farming lifestyle, lives just outside the community in the countryside. She has a strong understanding of the local lifestyles and political landscape.